|08 November, 2019

Gold set for biggest weekly fall in 2-1/2 years on U.S.-China trade hopes 

Spot gold was trading at $1,468.86 per ounce

The Sicpa Oasis validator system (bullion protect) is pictured on one kilogram bar of gold at Swiss refiner Metalor in Marin near Neuchatel, Switzerland July 5, 2019. Image used for illustrative purpose.

The Sicpa Oasis validator system (bullion protect) is pictured on one kilogram bar of gold at Swiss refiner Metalor in Marin near Neuchatel, Switzerland July 5, 2019. Image used for illustrative purpose.

REUTERS/Denis Balibouse

Gold prices were set for their biggest weekly decline in 2-1/2-years as optimism for a China U.S. trade deal boosted risk-on sentiment, denting bullion’s appeal.

World stocks rallied and the dollar index gained after officials on Thursday said that China and the United States have agreed to roll back tariffs on each others’ goods if the first phase of a trade deal is reached between the countries.

Spot gold was trading at $1,468.86 per ounce, nearly unchanged, at 0517 GMT, poised for its biggest weekly drop since May 2017. In the previous session, prices dropped 2% to their lowest in more than a month.

U.S. gold futures were up 0.2% at $1,470.10 per ounce.

“The market is coming to terms with the move that marked the breakout of the fairly long-standing range and finally gold seems to have made a move lower,” said Ilya Spivak, a senior currency strategist at DailyFx.

However, the ‘phase one’ trade deal faces fierce internal opposition at the White House over concerns whether rolling back tariffs will give away U.S. leverage in the negotiations.

“The market has a lot of questions about this, and that’s why ... even though there was a selloff, gold did not break below the lows in August,” Spivak said.

“If the deal does look solid and there is a de-escalation, then gold will head lower.”

Gold prices have risen over 14% so far this year mainly due to the protracted trade war that spurred global economic slowdown fears.

Reflecting sentiment, holdings in the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) dipped 0.16% on Thursday.

“Given the positivity that is reflected in equities and rates markets, the acknowledgement that things could just as easily take a turn for the worse appears to be expressed through gold positions at the moment,” UBS said in a note.

“This raises the risk that further improvements towards a credible and comprehensive trade deal would trigger substantial unwinding in the gold market.” 

Elsewhere, silver dropped 0.8% to $16.98 per ounce, and was set to fall about 6% for the week, its steepest drop since July 2017.

Platinum fell 0.4% to $905.01 per ounce, poised for a more than 4% drop for the week. Palladium lost 0.2% to $1,797.68, and was headed for its worst week in five.

Reporting by Sumita Layek and Diptendu Lahiri in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Christian Schmollinger

© Reuters News 2019

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