The UAE and other Gulf bourses are heading for their best monthly performance in August in 2020, buoyed by the progress towards Covid-19 vaccines, the easing of US-China tensions, and a rebound in crude prices.
Analysts expect the markets to continue their upward trend in the weeks ahead, on the back of support from central banks.
Dubai's main share index eased 0.3 per cent, hurt by a 3.9 per cent slide in Emirates Integrated Telecommunications (du) and a 0.9 per cent fall in Emirates NBD Bank. Abu Dhabi index edged up 0.1 per cent, helped by a 1.1 per cent rise in the country's largest lender First Abu Dhabi Bank
Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer of Century Financial, said S&P GCC Composite Index that tracks the value of the indices from the six GCC countries is up by almost five per cent for this month, best monthly performance for this year. This compares with 1.5 per cent rise seen in the index during last month. For the current quarter, the index is up by solid 8.30 per cent.
"Owing to current Q3 performance, the year-to-date losses for the index are now 9.10 per cent as compared to losses of 20 per cent seen during market crash in Q2 start. On a broader macro level, economies reopening up coupled with ongoing uptick in oil prices is keeping the sentiment alive. In August, oil benchmarks are up by five per cent with both WTI & Brent showing good momentum," he said.
On individual level, Dubai benchmark DFM is leading the show for this month with month-to-date (MTD) gains of over 9 per cent. This is closely followed by Bahrain and Saudi's benchmarks gains. Abu Dhabi Benchmark is up by 5.5 per cent while Qatar's benchmark is up by 6.7 per cent.
"The rally in these indices has not only been due to above mentioned macro factors but individual domestic news as well. For instance, in DFM index, gains in major member Emirates NBD has lifted the overall index. Various other M&A announcement across UAE firms has helped lifted the indices up," added Valecha.
Iyad Abu Hweij, managing partner at Allied Investment Partners, said that Mena equity markets continued the positive sentiments till the end of last week, making August the best performing month of the year.
"Going forward, equity markets are likely to continue their upward trend, encouraged by the liquidity packages being rolled out by Central Banks and hopes of potential vaccines to treat Covid-19. In Mena, the equity markets might continue to underperform its global peers as weakness in corporate earnings and economic headwinds will restrict the upside going forward," said Abu Hweij.
In January 2020, GCC markets grew less than three per cent but most of them lost between three per cent to nearly nine per cent in February this year. With the outbreak of Covid-19 in March and ensued lockdowns, the markets were consistently trading in negative territory.
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