|25 March, 2020

Dollar drops as U.S. stimulus bill boosts risk-taking

Investors are likely reducing dollar exposure ahead of Thursday’s jobless claims data

Image used for illustrative purpose. A packet of U.S. five-dollar bills is inspected at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington March 26, 2015.

Image used for illustrative purpose. A packet of U.S. five-dollar bills is inspected at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington March 26, 2015.

REUTERS/Gary Cameron

NEW YORK: The dollar weakened against a basket of currencies on Wednesday as a $2 trillion stimulus bill helped boost risk appetite, and reduced demand for the safe haven currency.

Stocks surged for a second day as U.S. senators were due to vote on a bipartisan package of legislation to alleviate the devastating economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, hoping it will become law quickly. 

Investors are also likely reducing dollar exposure ahead of Thursday’s jobless claims data, which is expected to show a surge in Americans filing for benefits as businesses close across the country in an attempt to curb the spread of the virus.

“Today’s developments are a good excuse to pare back on bullish bets on the dollar,” said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions, in Washington. “But sentiment is still positive (for the dollar) as uncertainty remains high about the economic damage from the virus.”

New York's governor on Wednesday said there were tentative signs that restrictions were slowing the spread of the coronavirus in his state, even as the public health crisis deepened in hard-hit New Orleans and other parts of the United States. urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL1N2BI0IS

Jobless claims on Thursday are expected to rise to around a million, from 281,000 the previous week, according to the median estimate from a Reuters poll of economists.

The dollar index fell 0.81% to 101.87. =USD

Sterling jumped 1.33% to $1.1913.

The euro EUR= gained 0.91% versus the greenback to $1.0885.

The single currency was also boosted after the German lower house on Wednesday suspended the country's constitutionally enshrined debt brake, approving a massive stimulus package by Chancellor Angela Merkel's government. 

Germany's economy could contract by as much as 20% this year due to the impact of the coronavirus, an Ifo economist said on Wednesday, as German business morale tumbled to its lowest level since the global financial crisis in 2009. 

Investors are also continuing to absorb the Federal Reserve’s unprecedented announcement on Monday that it would launch unlimited quantitative easing, and how that will impact the greenback. 

“QE was first introduced back in 2008, the dollar initially weakened but then recovered to even stronger levels. We believe that dynamic will likely unfold now,” said Win Thin, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York.

 Currency bid prices at 3:38PM (1938 GMT) Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.0885 $1.0787 +0.91% -2.90% +1.0889 +1.0762 Dollar/Yen JPY= 111.1300 111.2100 -0.07% +2.09% +111.6700 +110.7600 Euro/Yen EURJPY= 120.98 119.97 +0.84% -0.80% +121.0800 +119.5500 Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9759 0.9815 -0.57% +0.84% +0.9836 +0.9759 Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.1913 1.1757 +1.33% -10.15% +1.1975 +1.1641 Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.4189 1.4459 -1.87% +9.26% +1.4482 +1.4179 Australian/Doll AUD= 0.5958 0.5957 +0.02% -15.14% +0.6072 +0.5932 ar Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0623 1.0587 +0.34% -2.10% +1.0637 +1.0584 Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.9137 0.9175 -0.41% +8.08% +0.9276 +0.9056 NZ NZD= 0.5846 0.5826 +0.34% -13.21% +0.5911 +0.5790 Dollar/Dollar Dollar/Norway NOK= 10.6805 11.0553 -3.39% +21.67% +11.1458 +10.6814 Euro/Norway EURNOK= 11.6300 12.0033 -3.11% +18.22% +12.0280 +11.6165 Dollar/Sweden SEK= 10.0536 10.1100 -0.31% +7.56% +10.2122 +10.0410 Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.9491 10.9830 -0.31% +4.58% +11.0310 +10.8786

 (Additional reporting by Iain Withers in London Editing by Alistair Bell and Nick Zieminski) ((iain.withers@tr.com))

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