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A rare combination of rising fuel demand and expanding refining capacity is drawing global commodity traders to India, with firms such as Trafigura seeking long-term partnerships with state oil companies.
As consumption growth slows in most major economies, trading firm executives told the India Energy Week conference that they see opportunities across crude, refined fuels and liquefied natural gas (LNG).
"We see massive opportunities in India," said Sachin Gupta, chief executive of Trafigura India, pointing to strong demand for diesel, gasoline and liquefied petroleum gas and adding that India would be buying "a lot" of liquefied natural gas.
Gupta expects Indian oil demand to reach closer to 9 million barrels per day by 2050, from about 5 million barrels per day currently. On Friday, Trafigura said it signed a "landmark crude supply agreement" with Bharat Petroleum Corp to supply Iraqi Basrah and Omani crude to the Indian state refiner. BPCL also signed a term agreement with TotalEnergies for the procurement of UAE crude.
GROWING DEMAND Indian Oil Corp (IOC), the country's largest refiner, last year signed a five-year import deal with Trafigura to buy 2.5 million metric tons of LNG in a deal valued at $1.3 billion-$1.4 billion.
IOC's head of marketing, S.P. Srivastava told reporters at the conference that the company expects annual diesel demand to grow by 2-3% and gasoline demand to rise by 5-6% by 2030.
It signed a preliminary agreement with Paris-based Engie at India Energy Week for LNG and other natural gas trading opportunities in the Asia-Pacific region, IOC Chairman A.S. Sahney said.
Top gas importer Petronet LNG forecasts LNG imports will rise to 28 million-29 million tons in 2026, from about 25.5 million tons last year.
Trading giant Vitol expects most of India's refinery output to be absorbed domestically.
"There is 500,000 (barrels per day) of refining capacity coming online," said Kieran Gallagher, Vitol's Asia head. "Outside...summer seasonality and exports, largely the products derived from that capacity are going to be consumed within the country itself."
Opportunities for traders also extend to petrochemicals, where supply remains structurally short despite government estimates that production will rise by 29.62 million tons to 46 million tons by 2030.
(Reporting by Mohi Narayan and Nidhi Verma; additional reporting by Anjana Anil and Tanay Dhumal; editing by Mayank Bhardwaj, Kirsten Donovan)





















