Lockheed tumbles 10% as supply chain woes hammer forecast

The reassessment means "a slight reduction in revenue in 2022

  
A Lockheed Martin F-35 aircraft is seen at the ILA Air Show in Berlin, Germany, April 25, 2018. Image used for illustrative purpose.

A Lockheed Martin F-35 aircraft is seen at the ILA Air Show in Berlin, Germany, April 25, 2018. Image used for illustrative purpose.

REUTERS/Axel Schmidt

WASHINGTON- Lockheed Martin Corp lowered its 2021 revenue expectations by 2.5% to $67 billion on Tuesday and said next year's revenue could fall to $66 billion, sending shares down 10% as the COVID-19 pandemic hobbles the company's supply chain.

The pandemic has crippled many companies' ability to send and receive the parts and supplies they need to produce a wide range of products, creating shortages, reducing inventories and hammering profits.

Lockheed's poor outlook, just 66 days from year-end, came after it reassessed its five-year business plan "given recent external and programmatic events," Chief Executive Jim Taiclet said in the earnings report that dashed hopes the United States' largest arms maker could muscle its way through the pandemic.

The reassessment means "a slight reduction in revenue in 2022 and roughly flat to low-single-digit growth rates in both revenue and segment operating profit over the next few years" as Lockheed prioritizes researching next-generation weapons systems like hypersonic weapons and returning cash to shareholders, the CEO added.

"Management laid out a meaningfully lower growth profile than previously indicated, and growth is a key metric in Defense right now," Seth Seifman, a JP Morgan analyst said in a research note. Adding, "the potential silver lining the market may ultimately begin looking for here is that today's hit to the outlook is drastic enough to set up potential beats going forward."

Support for the defense industry could be on the way as congressional committees are set to start their conference on the Biden administration's 2022 defense policy bill that outlines increased spending.

Lockheed, however, raised its earnings-per-share guidance for 2021 to $22.45, more than analyst estimates of $22.19, as operating profits rose 6.6% versus the same period last year.

The third quarter which ended on Sept. 26 showed sales at Lockheed's largest unit, aeronautics - which makes the F-35 fighter jet - down 2% from a year earlier when the pandemic locked down many parts of the defense industry's supply chain.

Through Sept. 26, the unit made 90 F-35 deliveries with 36 occurring in the third quarter. Lockheed aims to deliver 133 to 139 of the stealthy jets this year.

In 2022, Lockheed plans to deliver 151 to 153 of the fighter aircraft. 

Lockheed's third-quarter revenue was $16 billion, 6.6% below analyst revenue estimate of $17.1 billion, Refinitiv data showed.

(Reporting by Mike Stone in Washington; Editing by Himani Sarkar, Kirsten Donovan, Mark Porter and Marguerita Choy) ((mike.stone1@thomsonreuters.com; https://twitter.com/MichaelStone;))


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