13 April 2015
Increase of 7% from Q1 2014 and 8% on Q4 2014

Number of COO up 8% year-on-year

Members' March exports rise 11% to AED 28.1 billion.

Dubai, UAE: Exports of Dubai Chamber of Commerce & Industry members in March reached an all-time high of AED 28.1 billion, pushing the total export value for the first quarter 2015 to AED 76.1 billion for the first time.

The latest export data released by Dubai Chamber shows an 8% increase on the previous quarter's (Q4 2014) value of AED 70.3 billion and a 7% rise from the AED 71.1 billion for the same quarter a year ago (Fig. 1 below).

The number of Certificates of Origin issued by Dubai Chamber also increased to a total of 228,000, up by 8% from 221,000 during the same quarter last year.

In addition, Dubai Chamber's active exporters in Q1-2015 reached 8,231, represented a 3% increase over both Q4-2014 and Q1-2014.

Fig 1. Value and y-o-y growth of quarterly exports of members, Q1 2009 to Q1 2014

The GCC continues to be the largest export market

The GCC has been the largest export market of Dubai Chamber members, with export to the region accounting for more than half of the total quarterly export. The region's dominance has grown significantly in the recent years. The total exports to the region of AED 50.6 billion in Q1 2015 was equivalent to 67% of the total export to all destinations during the period.

Compared to previous quarter's exports to the region of AED 44.5 billion, a 14% increase is noted. Year-on-year growth was even more significant at 19%, from year ago value of AED 42.4 billion.

Leading the growth was Saudi Arabia, the largest destination of members' exports to the GCC. The total value of export to the   country during Q1 2015 reached AED 28.9 billion, or 38% of the total. This represents a y-o-y growth of 26% from a year ago value of AED 22.9 billion; and a q-o-q growth of 20%, from Q4-2014 value of AED 24.2 billion.

General y-o-y improvements were noted in exports to all other GCC countries, with exports to Qatar rising by 13% to AED 7.3 billion; to Kuwait, by 11% to AED 5.3 billion; and to Oman and Bahrain by 5% to respective figures of AED 2.9 billion and AED 1.9 billion. Compared to previous quarter's export values, however, exports to Kuwait and Oman slowed down by 2% and 6%, respectively.

On the other hand, trade between companies in the customs territory of Dubai/UAE and those in the free zones/duty free shops and special areas of Dubai registered a y-o-y growth of 17% to AED 4.3 billion, which was just about equal to the previous quarter's value.

Total export to Iraq during the quarter reached AED 3.9 billion, higher by 22% than the previous quarter's record, though lower by 22%, y-o-y. Egypt was the next largest non-GCC export destination, with the total Q1-2015 export to the country reaching a value of AED 2.6 billion. Y-o-y comparison showed a 15% increase, though q-o-q decline of 7% was noted.

The recent surge in exports to Switzerland pushed the country in the list of largest non-GCC export destinations. However, exports to the country in March 2015 represented a m-o-m decline of 85% to a total of AED 143 million. Nonetheless, the country remained in the major export destination in Q1-205, with the total export value of AED 2.0 billion representing q-o-q increase of 363%.

Other large non-GCC export destinations in Q1-2015 were India with exports valued at AED 1.4 billion; Jordan, AED 1.1 billion; Ethiopia, AED 944 million; and Algeria, AED 783 million.

Saudi Arabia is the most popular export destination

In the 1st quarter of the year 8,231 members exported to various destinations, increasing by 3% from 7,973 exporters during the previous quarter and in the same quarter in 2014.

Saudi Arabia continued to be the most popular destination of exporters, with 3,308 exporters actively trading with the country, or 40% of the total number of active exporters during the quarter. The number was 3% higher than the corresponding number a year ago, and 4% higher that the number in the previous quarter. 

That the country is a popular export destination is not at all surprising, considering that it is the largest in the GCC, both in population size and land area. In addition, all modes of transport for goods from the UAE to the country are readily available. Although some border problems come up from time to time, authorities are quick to respond to the situation and normal trade generally resumes immediately.

Qatar continued to be 2nd only to Saudi Arabia, destination of exports of 2,958 exporters during the quarter; followed by Kuwait, with 2,074 exporters; Bahrain, 1,717 exporters; and Oman, 1,190 exporters.

The number of exporters to all the other popular export destinations registered increases over the respective numbers in the previous quarter, except for the number of exporters to Iraq, which dropped by 9%. Compared to year ago numbers, the respective rate of decline was 23%.

The number of traders between the UAE's domestic territory and the free zones remained nearly constant.

Export market penetration and export performance

The importance of export market penetration to export performance is demonstrated in Fig. 3a to Fig. 3c (below), showing that while there had been more exporters with less number of markets, those with access to greater number of markets were having more substantial contribution to the overall export performance during the quarter. Their export levels were much higher, as well as, their exporting activities during the period.

Of the 8,231 exporters active during Q1 2015, 50% or 4,121 exporters were exporting to only one market. In contrast, only 355 exporters or 4% were active in 10 or more export markets. Exporters with only two export markets numbered 1,470 exporters or 18% of the total active exporters during the quarter, while those with three to four export markets numbered 1,300, or 16% of the total. Exporters with five to nine export markets numbered 985, or 12% of the total.

On the other hand, of the total export of AED 76.1 billion during the three month period, exports of members with at least 10 markets accounted for 40%, for an average of AED 84.5 million per exporter. 

Although exports of members with only one export market accounted for 15% of the total, the average export value per exporter was lowest at AED 2.8 million. Share to total and average export per exporter of members with two markets were 7% and AED 3.7 million; of members  with  three to four markets, 14% and AED 8.0 million; and of members with five to nine markets, 24% and AED 18.8 million.

Fig. 3c. Distribution of total number of COs by number of export markets of exporters, Q1 2015

Of the 228,000 COs issued during the quarter, 107,000 were issued to members with at least 10 export markets, for a share of 47% to the total, and an average of 301 COs per exporter during the period. 

The number of COs issued to members with five to nine export markets accounted for 28% of the total, with an average of 64 COs per exporter.

Although the shares in the number of COs were comparable for members with less number of markets; i.e. at 10% for those with three to four export markets, 7% for both those with two export markets, and 8% for those with only one export market, the respective averages per exporter were declining at 18 COs, 10 COs and five COs per exporter in the respective groups.

-Ends-

Established in 1965, Dubai Chamber of Commerce & Industry is celebrating its milestone anniversary of 50 years empowering vision in Dubai's business community. A non-profit public entity, Dubai Chamber supports Dubai's vision as a global player by empowering businesses, providing innovative value added services and access to influential networks. Its mission is to represent, support and protect the interests of the business community in Dubai by creating a favourable business environment, supporting the development of business, and by promoting Dubai as an international business hub.

For more information visit: www.dubaichamber.com

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For more information, please contact:
Ruba Abdel Halim
Dubai Chamber of Commerce & Industry
PR & Corporate Communications Department
Tel: +971 4 2028450
Email: ruba.halim@hotmail.com

© Press Release 2015