May 18 2011 |
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Global, Middle East energy demand growth to continue, ExxonMobil executive tells Kuwait oil and gas professionals
ExxonMobil 's Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030 shows global demand up about 35% in 2030 versus 2005, while Middle East demand nearly doubles
Cleaner burning natural gas will be the fastest growing major global energy source, overtaking coal as the second largest
Global energy demand growth will be slowed significantly by efficiency gains
Rob Gardner, manager for the energy and economics division of ExxonMobil 's Corporate Strategic Planning department, was in Kuwait to discuss the latest edition of the company's Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030 at seminars attended by Kuwait Petroleum Corporation management and staff, members of the Society of Petroleum Engineering and other leading oil and gas professionals from private and public oil and gas organizations in Kuwait.
Gardner also said how the growing use of natural gas and other less-carbon intensive energy supplies, combined with greater energy efficiency in nations around the world, will help mitigate environmental impacts of increased energy demand.
According to the Outlook, global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions growth will be lower than the projected average rate of growth in energy demand.
"The key role oil and natural gas plays in the global energy outlook for decades to come underlines the importance of the Middle East region as a major supplier in meeting the world's needs," Gardner said.
Rising electricity demand - and the choice of fuels used to generate that electricity - represent a key focus area, which will have a major impact on the global energy landscape over the next two decades. According to the outlook, global electricity demand will rise by more than 80% through 2030 from 2005 levels. Electricity demand in the Middle East is projected to increase by more than 150% from 2005 to 2030. Global demand for natural gas for power generation is expected to rise by about 85% from 2005 to 2030 when natural gas will provide more than a quarter of the world's electricity needs.
According to ExxonMobil 's Outlook, efforts to ensure reliable, affordable energy while also limiting greenhouse gas emissions will lead to polices in many countries that put a cost on carbon dioxide emissions. As a result, abundant supplies of natural gas will become increasingly competitive as an economic source of electric power as its use results in less CO2 emissions than other energy sources in generating electricity.
Among this year's findings:
Rapid economic growth and expanding prosperity in developing countries that are not part of the OECD will drive an increase in their energy demand of more than 70% in 2030 compared to 2005. By contrast, improvements in energy efficiency will help keep energy demand in OECD countries essentially flat over the period to 2030, even though the total economic output of these nations is expected to rise by approximately 60%.
Efficiency gains are expected to accelerate between 2005 and 2030 versus historical trends. Gains in the wise and efficient use of energy across all sectors of economies worldwide will curb energy demand growth through 2030 by about 65%.
Power generation is the largest and fastest growing major energy-demand sector and is likely to represent 55% of the total growth in demand through 2030. At that time, power generation will account for about 40% of total primary energy demand.
Oil, natural gas and coal will continue to meet most of the world's needs during this period because no other energy sources can match their availability, versatility, affordability and scale.
The fastest-growing of these fuels will be natural gas, reflecting its abundance, versatility and economic advantages as an efficient, clean-burning fuel for power generation.
Wind, solar, and biofuels will grow sharply through 2030. However, because they are starting from a small base, their contribution by 2030 is likely to remain relatively small.
-Ends-
About ExxonMobil
ExxonMobil6, the largest publicly traded international oil and gas company, uses technology and innovation to help meet the world's growing energy needs.
ExxonMobil
holds an industry-leading inventory of resources, is the largest refiner and marketer of petroleum products and its chemical company is one of the largest in the world.
For more information about
ExxonMobil
's Outlook for Energy, visit www.exxonmobil.com/energyoutlook4.
Cautionary Statement: The Outlook and this release contain forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, energy supply sources, and efficiency gains) could differ materially due to changes in law or government regulation and other political events, changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, demographic changes, and other factors discussed in the Outlook and under the heading "Factors Affecting Future Results" on the Investors page of our website at www.exxonmobil.com5. See also Item 1A of ExxonMobil 's latest Form 10-K.
© Press Release 2011
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