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May 10 2011

Gulf International Bank Affirmed At 'BBB+/A-2' And Off Watch On Reassessment Of Its Bahrain-Related Risks;Outlook Stable

We believe the past two months have tested Bahrain-based Gulf International Bank 's ( GIB ) business profile and its resilience to Bahrain's sovereign and country risk, as well as its operating environment.

A term loan the bank raised from its core shareholder, based in Saudi Arabia, in March 2011 also supports our view that GIB is likely to receive strong extraordinary support from its shareholder.

GIB 's wholesale banking activity, its limited exposure to Bahrain, and its track record, in our view, support a rating higher than our 'BBB' transfer and convertibility assessment on Bahrain.

Therefore, we are affirming our 'BBB+/A-2' ratings on GIB and removing them from CreditWatch negative.

The stable outlook reflects our view that GIB will remain insulated from Bahrain-related risks and that its business and financial profiles--as well as its role and links to its shareholder--will remain virtually unchanged.
PARIS (Standard & Poor's) May 10, 2011--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it affirmed its 'BBB+/A-2' long- and short-term counterparty credit ratings on Bahrain-based Gulf International Bank B.S.C. ( GIB ) and removed from the CreditWatch, where they had been placed with negative implications on March 23, 2011. The outlook is stable.

The rating action reflects our view that GIB is well insulated from sovereign and country risks related to the Kingdom of Bahrain (BBB/Watch Neg/A-3). Consequently, we rate GIB higher than our 'BBB' transfer and convertibility (T&C) assessment for Bahrain (which reflects our view of the likelihood of the sovereign restricting nonsovereign access to foreign exchange needed to satisfy the nonsovereign's debt obligations).

In addition, the affirmation takes into account the bank's funding and liquidity position, which has demonstrated resilience in Bahrain's recent turbulent operating environment. We also believe GIB could benefit, if necessary, from extraordinary support from its 98% owner, the Public Investment Fund ( PIF ; not rated) in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (AA-/Stable/A-1+), given the US$500 million five-year term loan the bank raised from PIF on March 14, 2011. Through the loan, granted just prior to the escalation in political and social unrest in Bahrain, we understand GIB aims to lengthen the term structure of its funding.

The stable outlook balances our opinion of GIB 's strong capitalization and shareholder support with its weak earnings generation and obstacles in implementing its new business model aimed at making GIB a more universal bank. The outlook also factors in our expectation that GIB will likely maintain its asset quality and liquidity metrics at their current adequate levels. We believe that the bank's asset and earnings generation capacity will remain somewhat limited in 2011 and that management is seeking to address these weaknesses as it rolls out its business model.

A material deterioration in GIB 's core operational performance or asset quality, or a dramatic increase in its exposure to Bahrain-related assets or liabilities, could trigger a negative rating action.

Any upgrade would likely stem from further improvement in GIB 's funding profile and the implementation of a business model that generates adequate and sustainable profitability, all other things being equal.

- Ends -

RELATED CRITERIA AND RESEARCH
All articles listed below are available on RatingsDirect on the Global Credit Portal, unless otherwise stated.
Methodology: Criteria For Determining Transfer and Convertibility Assessments, May 18, 2009
Bank Rating Analysis Methodology Profile, March 18, 2004
Rating Government-Related Entities: Methodology And Assumptions, Dec. 9, 2010

© Press Release 2011

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