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Apr 13 2010

Al Rajhi Capital issues comprehensive research report on Saudi Arabian Food Sector, initiates coverage of Almarai and Savola with overweight rating

Riyadh: Al Rajhi Capital , the investment banking subsidiary of Saudi Arabia's Al Rajhi Bank, announced that it has issued a comprehensive report from the firm's Research Department on the Saudi Arabian Food Sector.

The 40-page report, which can be viewed in full on the Al Rajhi Capital website (www.alrajhi-capital.com), provides an in-depth look at the performance and projections for the sector and valuations for top industry players.

Al Rajhi Capital initiates coverage of two of the Saudi Arabian market's leading food companies, Almarai , the top local and GCC-wide dairy producer, and Savola , a leading food producer, retailer and investor, with "Overweight" ratings. Together Almarai and Savola account for 79% of the aggregate market capitalisation of the food sector, which is currently approximately SAR 51.1 billion as of the end of March 2010.

Key highlights from the report on the prospects for the sector, which includes 15-listed companies in total, are:

  • Overall outlook remains promising with further growth expected for the industry in Saudi Arabia and across the GCC as a whole.

  • Positive growth trends are supported by favourable demographics including high growth rates and a young population, as well as strong levels of GDP and per capita income rates.

  • Improvements in education, greater consciousness of the benefits of healthy foods such as fresh dairy products and new lifestyle choices are stimulating growth of the sector and the development of new areas including the lucrative health food segment.

  • Market conditions continue to favour the sectors dominant players such as Almarai and Savola , which have shown impressive growth and financial performance. Smaller players however remain under pressure.

  • M&A is the chief mode of growth for top players in the sector. However, debt levels to fund acquisitions remain under control among acquisitive companies such as Almarai and Savola , who have each executed a string of highly successful and profitable acquisitions in 2009 and prior years.

    In terms of trends in key market segments, Al Rajhi Capital 's report anticipates:

  • Strong prospects for companies in the dairy market albeit with an increase in competition. To remain competitive, dairy producers must diversify as Almarai has done, greatly reducing dependence on dairy sales in favour of expansion in areas such as juice, bakery and cheese products, which are flourishing. Almarai , for example, in recent years has decreased its reliance on dairy from 100% to 60% of revenues.

  • Stable commodity prices for foodstuffs is expected going forward and should result in revenue growth from products such as sugar, edible oils and others.

  • Growing trend towards shopping in larger retail outlets is also expected to be positive for food sales and improvements are predicted for the retail segment in 2010, particularly for large players like Savola as they rationalise newly acquired store networks. Today only 30 to 35% of aggregate sales of food products come from large retail outlets thus leaving significant room for penetration.

    The report also provides specific valuations of key company stocks including a full analysis of Almarai and Savola , which it believes still offer considerable value to investors. Al Rajhi Capital launches coverage of the market's leading food producers with the following recommendations:

  • Coverage of Almarai is initiated with an Overweight rating with a six to nine month target price of SAR220, implying upside of 17.1% from the current price.

  • Coverage of Savola is also initiated with an Overweight rating with a six to nine month target price of SAR41.1, implying upside of 17.4% from the current price.

  • These stocks have performed well, and whilst they are not cheap with EV/EBITDA ratios of 12.3x and 9.6x, respectively, the report expects further share price appreciation to ensue. Drivers of share price gains are said to be strong industry growth trends, strong management and strategy and high levels of transparency within the companies, which will attract both local and international investors.

    Commenting on the report, Dr. Saleh Al-Suhaibani, Head of Research at Al Rajhi Capital said: "Research is a critical part of the investment process and we're pleased to be able to provide investors with independent analysis and in-depth views into growing industry sectors such as this. Our clients are increasingly looking for value and greater insight into the markets and we are confident that the calibre of research provided by Al Rajhi Capital can give our clients the information they need to more effectively evaluate their investment decisions and manage their portfolios."

    Over the coming year, and in line with Al Rajhi Capital 's broader plans to further expand its client services, the firm will continue to strengthen the scope of its research coverage. In addition to providing comprehensive sector analysis, Al Rajhi Capital 's Research Department will also issue in-depth equity research reports on individual companies across multiple industry sectors.

    Al Rajhi Capital is a leading provider of a broad range of investment banking services including research, brokerage, asset management, arranging and underwriting, private equity, advisory and custodial services. Its market leading position is underscored by a number of industry awards over the years for excellence and innovation.

    The full report is available on the Al Rajhi Capital website: www.alrajhi-capital.com

    -Ends-

    About Al Rajhi Capital :
    Al Rajhi Capital Company is the independent, wholly owned investment subsidiary of Al Rajhi Bank, the world's largest Islamic bank and the largest commercial bank in the GCC region in terms of market capitalization.

    Headquartered in Riyadh, King Fahad road, Al Rajhi Capital is a Limited Liability company organized and existing under the laws and regulations of Saudi Arabia and operates under the Authorized Persons Regulations with license number 07068-37 granted by the Capital Market Authority and provides securities-related services, including brokerage, asset management, arranging, underwriting, private equity advisory and custodial services.

    For media inquiries, please contact:
    Al Rajhi Capital
    Marketing & PR
    T: +966 (0) 1 211 9419

    FinMark Communications
    Zahraa Taher
    T: +973 770 22 550
    M: +973 39630997

    FinMark Communications
    Laila Danesh
    T: +44 (0) 20 7887 7869
    M: +44 770 333 0024

  • © Press Release 2010

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