29 Jul 2010 Press Release
 

UAE transport sector shows positive outlook

UAE transport sector shows positive outlook
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A Dubai Chamber analysis indicates the sector to remain strong and robust
Dubai, UAE: A Dubai Chamber of Commerce & Industry analysis released recently showed a strong potential and positive growth outlook for the UAE's transportation sector. The analysis further indicated that the UAE transportation sector provides market accessibility by linking producers and consumers together in what is rapidly becoming more and more of a globalised world. The major impacts of transport on economic processes can be categorised as; geographic specialisation; (ii) increased competition and (iii) increased land value.

Since 1994, the average share of the transport sector in the UAE stood at around 5%-6% (see table 1). It is noteworthy to point out, however, that the share of the transport, storage and communications sector in total UAE GDP has in fact declined in recent years from a peak of 7.9% in 2002 to 5.0% in 2008.

The rapid pace of the UAE's expansion is putting pressure on transport infrastructure. Abu Dhabi, in particular, suffers from chronic congestion problems, as the city's population now far exceeds the original population expectations of its designers and has not developed its transport infrastructure as rapidly as in Dubai.

Furthermore, the Abu Dhabi government plans to launch a long-term investment programme to upgrade its airports, ports and public transportation system in near future. Some of the projects it has announced are the construction of an USD7bn international airport, to be completed between 2010 and 2012, and a new port facility at the Khalifa Port and Industrial Zone, located in Al Taweelah. The government-launched "Plan Abu Dhabi 2030" outlines a major transport infrastructure overhaul to cater for a growing population estimated to reach around 3 million by 2030. Plans for the metro, high-speed rail with Dubai, freight rail corridor and new roads are all taking shape.

The Dubai government is planning to direct funds and resources into transport infrastructure, and public authorities and public projects such as the Roads and Transport Authority (RTA), the Dubai MetroDubai MetroLoading... project and the Dubai Ports Authority (DPA). Whilst no specific details have been released as yet, major projects are already well underway including the new tramline in Dubai, the Dubai MetroDubai MetroLoading..., the parallel roads project and a possible expansion of the Jebel Ali Port. The Dubai government has plans to invest AED300mn in the development of its aviation sector as part of its Strategic Plan 2015 which will develop Dubai as a leader in aviation and logistics. In addition, Sharjah and Ajman present some promising prospects with deregulation and FDI initiatives, following in the footsteps of Dubai and Abu Dhabi.

The long-term fundamentals that will continue to support transport infrastructural growth outlook in the UAE remain strong and robust. The 3 main transport sub-sectors outlook for the UAE are highlighted in table 2. Investments in transport are pouring in on the back of the government's large fiscal stimulus packages to help support the UAE economy ride out the economic slowdown. What's more, the government's attempt to engage the private sector in infrastructural growth is encouraging which will draw in expertise and large funds to respond to the expected long-term rising demand.

Overall, as the UAE begins to recover on the back of a rise in aggregate demand due to a mix of monetary loosening, fiscal expansion and a general increase in consumer and investor sentiment, it is clear that the UAE is well on track for a robust recovery in the coming years ahead.

Table 1. Key UAE Transport Sector Indicators

Table 2. Key UAE Transport Sector Outlook

Transport Sector

2008

2009f

2010f

2010f

Transport Sector's GDP Growth (%)

13.9

6.8

6.9

7.1

Sector's GDP Share in Total GDP (%)

5.0

6.2

6.1

5.8

Gross Fixed Capital Formation,

AED (mn)

27,139

30,124

33,136

38,107

Production,

AED (mn)

72,846

79,402

86,548

94,338

Number of Workers

176,278

190,323

204,978

220,761

Compensation of Employees,

AED (mn)

15,656

16,438

17,260

18,296

Rail

The Dubai tram project is expected to begin in 2011 and involves 11 tramways, a 10km track and 13 stations in the first phase. This will improve ease traffic congestion and improve travelling times.

Air

Dubai International Airport recorded 9.2% passenger traffic increase and 5.6% cargo growth in 2009 compared to a 3.5% contraction in international passenger traffic and 10.1% contraction in international cargo volume globally. Both trends are expected to continue rising in 2010.

Sea

In 2010 the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) has removed single tankers docking at the GCC's largest fuel hub, the port of Fujairah. This is expected to lead to lower single vessels flowing through UAE waters this year.

Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from the UAE Ministry of Economy

Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from various UAE Government Sources

-Ends-

Editor's note:
Established in 1965, the Dubai Chamber of Commerce & Industry is a non-profit public entity, whose mission is to represent, support and protect the interests of the business community in Dubai by creating a favorable business environment, supporting the development of business, and by promoting Dubai as an international business hub.

© Press Release 2010

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